Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.490287 0.543768 0.601410 0.668278 0.743867 0.826839 0.925048
2025-05-25 0.394830 0.466363 0.549262 0.652944 0.779858 0.931049 1.126135
2025-06-01 0.351359 0.432856 0.532033 0.662643 0.831645 1.045020 1.338116
2025-06-08 0.314078 0.399929 0.508518 0.657549 0.859262 1.126386 1.512961
2025-06-15 0.289038 0.378669 0.495895 0.662695 0.897616 1.222284 1.714883
2025-06-22 0.263304 0.353371 0.474565 0.652441 0.911747 1.283757 1.872325
2025-06-29 0.242907 0.333148 0.457737 0.645833 0.928857 1.349200 2.040851
2025-07-06 0.219231 0.306197 0.428890 0.618609 0.911895 1.360652 2.124671
2025-07-13 0.208630 0.297000 0.424541 0.626815 0.948645 1.457093 2.355338
2025-07-20 0.198920 0.288234 0.419898 0.633731 0.983330 1.552731 2.595036
2025-07-27 0.190114 0.280083 0.415380 0.640106 1.017151 1.649462 2.847425
2025-08-03 0.181385 0.271367 0.409216 0.643044 1.045046 1.738152 3.095231
2025-08-10 0.174126 0.264616 0.405886 0.650741 1.082425 1.848447 3.400937
2025-08-17 0.162852 0.250772 0.390242 0.636449 1.079960 1.886723 3.571508
2025-08-24 0.157289 0.245744 0.388555 0.645830 1.120517 2.008320 3.926189
2025-08-31 0.149498 0.236533 0.379222 0.640887 1.133963 2.079142 4.183656
2025-09-07 0.144127 0.230995 0.375669 0.645882 1.166322 2.189907 4.542668
2025-09-14 0.136621 0.221383 0.364462 0.635928 1.168729 2.240224 4.772539
2025-09-21 0.130262 0.213375 0.355543 0.629512 1.177411 2.304102 5.042550
2025-09-28 0.121230 0.200239 0.336775 0.603077 1.143459 2.274184 5.083604
2025-10-05 0.118034 0.197196 0.335928 0.611046 1.180690 2.401847 5.531005
2025-10-12 0.114841 0.193971 0.334527 0.617761 1.215791 2.528413 5.995482
2025-10-19 0.111758 0.190765 0.332947 0.623951 1.250227 2.657080 6.486240